Publishers now have a theory that “truck drivers who read books do not read books written for truck drivers”
In Extremistan, inequalities are such that one single observation can disproportionately impact the aggregate, or the total.
Mistaking a naïve observation of the past as something definitive or representative of the future is the one and only cause of our inability to understand the Black Swan.
we have a natural tendency to look for instances that confirm our story and our vision of the world—these instances are always easy to find.