We often believe things because we want to believe them, not because of the evidence.
A belief is essentially a point of view that we hold to be true.
We prefer stories to statistics. • We seek to confirm. • We rarely appreciate the role of chance and coincidence in life. • We can misperceive our world. • We oversimplify. • We have faulty memories.
Very bright, capable, highly trained people are holding extraordinary beliefs that have little or no credible supporting evidence.